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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team DogChampwin 2:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Electronic Boysloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team DogChamp

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
yarintheslayer · 7 games
86%
Mars
Marssignature
lukiluki · 6 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bloody Nine · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
yarintheslayer · 5 games
60%
Undying
Undying
Bloody Nine · 4 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bloody Nine · 3 games
67%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
lukiluki · 3 games
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 3 games
67%

Electronic Boys

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
albinozebra · 7 games
43%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
red2 · 3 games
0%
Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 3 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Giant · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Giant · 3 games
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Giant · 3 games
33%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Speeed · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
414 picks · 941 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
378 picks · 539 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
348 picks · 704 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
328 picks · 547 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
311 picks · 308 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
296 picks · 218 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
281 picks · 155 bans
48%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
273 picks · 281 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 71%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 2:0
Series predictioncorrect