?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empire Hopewin 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
YNTloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Empire Hope

Pudge
Pudgesignature
krylat · 10 games
90%
Io
Iosignature
antoha · 7 games
86%
Viper
Vipersignature
Mastery · 7 games
71%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
antoha · 6 games
67%
Dazzle
Dazzle
antoha · 5 games
60%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Mastery · 5 games
60%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
pJonn · 5 games
60%
Visage
Visageoften banned
pJonn · 5 games
60%

YNT

Sand King
Sand King
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 8 games
25%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
716 picks · 569 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
496 picks · 659 bans
45%
Puck
Puck
496 picks · 1024 bans
56%
Marci
Marci
488 picks · 804 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
370 picks · 429 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
330 picks · 160 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
329 picks · 395 bans
47%
Razor
Razor
302 picks · 579 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 57%
Hero pool strength64% Team Empire Hope
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total60% Team Empire Hope
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:34
Team Empire Hope 60%YNT 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by YNT in 23:22.
Game 2prediction correct15:7
Team Empire Hope 60%YNT 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 19:07.
Game 3prediction correct32:10
Team Empire Hope 60%YNT 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 34:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire Hope · 60%
Series resultTeam Empire Hope 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3