Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empireloss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gambit Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire
Bane
Kaori · 24 games
Marsoften banned
Ghostik · 23 games
Kunkkaoften banned
lightless · 15 games
Disruptor
Kaori · 13 games
Weaveroften banned
Kaori · 13 games
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Dodren · 12 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Shisui · 12 games
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
439 picks · 270 bans
Mars
395 picks · 541 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 593 bans
Weaver
314 picks · 407 bans
Tiny
305 picks · 345 bans
Queen of Pain
286 picks · 454 bans
Ember Spirit
274 picks · 390 bans
Kunkka
264 picks · 482 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 70%
Hero pool strength56% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total73% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:36
Team Empire 27%Gambit Esports 73%
The model gave 73% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 45:05.
Game 2prediction correct2:18
Team Empire 27%Gambit Esports 73%
The model gave 73% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 23:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 73%
Series resultGambit Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2