Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empireloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KKEKWaitwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire
Marsoften banned
DkFogas · 19 games
Tiny
xannii · 19 games
Clockwerk
[T]SA · 18 games
Bane
633 · 16 games
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 14 games
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 14 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
KEKWait
Marsoften banned
Infernal · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Infernal · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
Infernal · 2 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Infernal · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Infernal · 1 game
Underlordoften banned
Infernal · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
501 picks · 438 bans
Mars
474 picks · 698 bans
Bane
438 picks · 295 bans
Dragon Knight
435 picks · 535 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 600 bans
Storm Spirit
375 picks · 601 bans
Sand King
350 picks · 515 bans
Keeper of the Light
341 picks · 760 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 27%
Hero pool strength52% Team Empire
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Empire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Empire 55%KEKWait 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Empire — the game was taken by KEKWait.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Empire 55%KEKWait 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Empire — the game was taken by KEKWait.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire · 55%
Series resultKEKWait 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2