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Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empirewin 2:0
series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Empire

Mars
Marsoften banned
DkFogas · 19 games
37%
Tiny
Tiny
xannii · 19 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
[T]SA · 18 games
44%
Bane
Bane
633 · 16 games
38%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 14 games
21%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 14 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 10 games
30%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
30%

No Sorry

Bane
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 44 games
64%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 36 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 32 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 32 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Worick · 30 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 29 games
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 25 games
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 438 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
474 picks · 698 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
438 picks · 295 bans
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
435 picks · 535 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 600 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
375 picks · 601 bans
55%
Sand King
Sand King
350 picks · 515 bans
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
341 picks · 760 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% No Sorry
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total81% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:19
Team Empire 32%No Sorry 68%
The model gave 68% on No Sorry — the game was taken by Team Empire in 35:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless Void7jesu
48% · 100 games52% · 218 games
Templar AssassinKami
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSquad1x
50% · 325 games46% · 89 games
Night StalkerLastHero-
Night Stalker
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerShachlo
46% · 49 games51% · 287 games
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
Zeus
ZeusjAMES
50% · 4 games47% · 231 game
Ioy0nd
Io
Bane
Bane633
54% · 520 games54% · 173 games
DisruptorBLACKARXANGEL
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed37:30
Team Empire 31%No Sorry 69%
The model gave 69% on No Sorry — the game was taken by Team Empire in 41:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusa7jesu
52% · 129 games48% · 19 games
AlchemistKami
Alchemist
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSquad1x
34% · 186 games55% · 267 games
PuckWorick
Puck
Pangolier
PangolierShachlo
53% · 147 games52% · 51 game
Dark SeerLastHero-
Dark Seer
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker633
46% · 60 games57% · 162 games
Nyx Assassiny0nd
Nyx Assassin
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MagejAMES
51% · 55 games49% · 78 games
UndyingBLACKARXANGEL
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 81%
Series resultTeam Empire 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2