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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Aurora Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 30 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
68%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 26 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
60%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 24 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
73%

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 61 game
66%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 55 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 53 games
62%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 49 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 45 games
71%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 40 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Ws · 38 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 36 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
549 picks · 343 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
475 picks · 564 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
446 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
428 picks · 356 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 508 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
321 picks · 847 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
313 picks · 797 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
311 picks · 210 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 61%
Hero pool strength52% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 4
Model total62% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:15
Team Falcons 53%Aurora Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 33:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorATF
42% · 118 games52% · 93 games
DoomWs
Doom
Earthshaker
EarthshakerMalr1ne
46% · 114 games51% · 99 games
WindrangerNightfall
Windranger
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritSkiter
49% · 20 games55% · 129 games
Void SpiritMikoto
Void Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
47% · 207 games52% · 235 games
HoodwinkMira
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
51% · 194 games58% · 97 games
BaneKaori
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 62%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1