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BLAST Slam II · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 41 game
66%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 40 games
57%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 37 games
95%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 34 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 33 games
67%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 26 games
62%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
79%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 30 games
73%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 21 game
76%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 19 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
470 picks · 589 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
463 picks · 398 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
450 picks · 560 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
429 picks · 534 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 776 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 472 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
400 picks · 881 bans
59%
Lion
Lion
396 picks · 233 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% Team Falcons
Head-to-head11 – 3
Model total56% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:24
Team Falcons 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 55:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
52% · 476 games52% · 378 games
GyrocopterPure~
Gyrocopter
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerATF
51% · 245 games49% · 117 games
LinagpK~
Lina
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
50% · 349 games46% · 316 games
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Lifestealer
LifestealerSkiter
52% · 193 games49% · 209 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanCr1t-
51% · 95 games48% · 338 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct33:18
Team Falcons 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 44:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorATF
46% · 259 games52% · 128 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSkiter
47% · 207 games47% · 268 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
51% · 245 games52% · 160 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Venomancer
VenomancerSneyking
47% · 78 games52% · 235 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinCr1t-
54% · 247 games52% · 245 games
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction correct35:14
Team Falcons 52%BETBOOM TEAM 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 43:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonSkiter
44% · 30 games54% · 254 games
MorphlingPure~
Morphling
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerATF
47% · 173 games50% · 245 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Venomancer
VenomancerSneyking
44% · 40 games47% · 240 games
Primal BeastgpK~
Primal Beast
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
50% · 593 games52% · 248 games
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Enchantress
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
53% · 500 games52% · 349 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 56%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3