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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 58 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 48 games
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 37 games
62%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Sneyking · 36 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Skiter · 34 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 34 games
88%
Muerta
Muerta
Cr1t- · 30 games
57%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 29 games
72%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 39 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 24 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 22 games
77%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
567 picks · 795 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
450 picks · 321 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
438 picks · 677 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
427 picks · 793 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
404 picks · 877 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
397 picks · 380 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
385 picks · 530 bans
48%
Magnus
Magnus
384 picks · 1071 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 57%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head8 – 4
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:12
Team Falcons 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 47:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinySkiter
49% · 424 games49% · 208 games
Phantom AssassinPure~
Phantom Assassin
Doom
DoomATF
52% · 168 games51% · 303 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Monkey King
Monkey KingQuinn
53% · 229 games60% · 239 games
MagnusMieRo
Magnus
Jakiro
JakiroSneyking
49% · 216 games47% · 318 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Windranger
WindrangerCr1t-
46% · 107 games41% · 76 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed27:9
Team Falcons 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 37:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerQuinn
55% · 22 games55% · 435 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Beastmaster
BeastmasterATF
47% · 371 game59% · 184 games
Dark SeerMieRo
Dark Seer
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSkiter
49% · 446 games48% · 184 games
Phantom AssassinPure~
Phantom Assassin
Snapfire
SnapfireCr1t-
49% · 131 game47% · 245 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Jakiro
JakiroSneyking
47% · 280 games49% · 202 games
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2