Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Marssignature
ATF · 38 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 31 game
Dragon Knightsignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 27 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Cr1t- · 23 games
Weaversignature
Skiter · 23 games
Doomsignature
ATF · 22 games
Lunasignature
Skiter · 22 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
493 picks · 789 bans
Batrider
461 picks · 957 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 600 bans
Crystal Maiden
454 picks · 200 bans
Techies
450 picks · 346 bans
Mars
445 picks · 707 bans
Rubick
438 picks · 205 bans
Pangolier
426 picks · 728 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 60%
Hero pool strength68% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total85% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:5
Team Falcons 85%G2 Invictus Gaming 15%
The model gave 85% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 28:11.
Game 2prediction correct45:38
Team Falcons 85%G2 Invictus Gaming 15%
The model gave 85% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 1:23:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 85%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2