FISSURE Universe: Episode 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:1series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 43 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 36 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 32 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 31 game
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 31 game
Marssignature
ATF · 28 games
Doomsignature
ATF · 26 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Skiter · 26 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
439 picks · 369 bans
Hoodwink
408 picks · 456 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 880 bans
Weaver
388 picks · 831 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 519 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 506 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 641 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 54%
Hero pool strength63% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total83% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:26
Team Falcons 83%G2 Invictus Gaming 17%
The model gave 83% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 20:25.
Game 2prediction correct31:18
Team Falcons 83%G2 Invictus Gaming 17%
The model gave 83% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 41:44.
Game 3prediction correct47:39
Team Falcons 83%G2 Invictus Gaming 17%
The model gave 83% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 1:10:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 83%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3