BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Tinysignature
Skiter · 28 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 27 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 27 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 25 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 25 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 22 games
GLYPH
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 7 games
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 4 games
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
Jakiro
NARMAN · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
545 picks · 335 bans
Phoenix
473 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
439 picks · 233 bans
Tiny
423 picks · 353 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 495 bans
Puck
322 picks · 841 bans
Jakiro
320 picks · 217 bans
Beastmaster
314 picks · 800 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 69%
Hero pool strength51% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:36
Team Falcons 81%GLYPH 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by GLYPH in 45:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SnapfireMalr1ne
InvokerEmo
TinySkiter
WindrangerJaCkky
MarsATF
Brewmasterzeal
LichSneyking
RubickJhocam
LargoCr1t-
Treant ProtectorNARMAN
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 94%
Series resultGLYPH 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1