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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Heroicloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 30 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 27 games
78%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 25 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
77%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 19 games
74%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 18 games
72%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 16 games
81%

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 26 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 24 games
71%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 21 game
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Bane
Bane
KJ · 18 games
44%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
774 picks · 354 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
585 picks · 598 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
559 picks · 299 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
458 picks · 536 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
457 picks · 275 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
453 picks · 280 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
449 picks · 736 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
430 picks · 1125 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total83% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:10
Team Falcons 70%Heroic 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 34:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonSkiter
46% · 180 games69% · 8 games
MeepoYuma
Meepo
Sniper
SniperMalr1ne
51% · 60 games50% · 177 games
Dark SeerDavai
Dark Seer
Monkey King
Monkey KingATF
51% · 180 games53% · 151 game
Primal BeastWisper
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenSneyking
57% · 118 games49% · 209 games
PugnaKJ
Pugna
Tusk
TuskCr1t-
48% · 240 games45% · 233 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 83%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1