BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PARIVISIONwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Tinysignature
Skiter · 33 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 25 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 23 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
Chenoften banned
Sneyking · 22 games
PARIVISION
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 31 game
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 27 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
564 picks · 348 bans
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
455 picks · 238 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 369 bans
Pangolier
381 picks · 529 bans
Puck
329 picks · 865 bans
Beastmaster
321 picks · 805 bans
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 69%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total58% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:32
Team Falcons 45%PARIVISION 55%
The model gave 55% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 30:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarsATF
Shadow FiendSatanic
Vengeful SpiritSkiter
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
SnapfireMalr1ne
AxeNoticed
PhoenixSneyking
Witch DoctorDukalis
ClockwerkCr1t-
Skywrath Mage9Class
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 58%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1