BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Liquidwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Tinysignature
Skiter · 32 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 27 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 25 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 23 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 38 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 31 game
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 28 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Underlordsignature
Ace · 24 games
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
561 picks · 344 bans
Phoenix
476 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
453 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 362 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 521 bans
Puck
325 picks · 858 bans
Beastmaster
318 picks · 799 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head8 – 4
Model total68% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:36
Team Falcons 62%Team Liquid 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 26:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinySkiter
Drow RangermiCKe
PangolierATF
DawnbreakerAce
Monkey KingMalr1ne
SlardarNisha
LionCr1t-
IoBoxi
LichSneyking
ClockwerktOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 68%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1