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BLAST Slam V · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:2
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 34 games
71%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 29 games
79%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 27 games
74%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
77%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 21 game
76%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 19 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 17 games
82%

Team Yandex

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
62%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 19 games
63%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 19 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 19 games
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
81%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TA2000 · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
775 picks · 360 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
580 picks · 301 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
559 picks · 563 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
516 picks · 363 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
499 picks · 607 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
482 picks · 278 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
469 picks · 748 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
436 picks · 499 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total85% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:29
Team Falcons 72%Team Yandex 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 38:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSkiter
42% · 379 games53% · 337 games
TerrorbladeWatson
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
48% · 386 games54% · 212 games
Sand KingChira JUNIOR
Sand King
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
54% · 319 games51% · 78 games
UnderlordNoticed
Underlord
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageCr1t-
46% · 80 games49% · 458 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
50% · 170 games52% · 249 games
Shadow DemonSaksa
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed10:13
Team Falcons 71%Team Yandex 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 40:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverSkiter
40% · 78 games52% · 194 games
MorphlingWatson
Morphling
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerATF
49% · 261 game48% · 352 games
Dragon KnightNoticed
Dragon Knight
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
46% · 403 games51% · 209 games
Primal BeastChira JUNIOR
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenSneyking
61% · 163 games50% · 141 game
Naga SirenMalady
Naga Siren
Ringmaster
RingmasterCr1t-
56% · 210 games46% · 219 games
Shadow DemonSaksa
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 85%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2