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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
98%2%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 33 games
70%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 28 games
79%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 27 games
74%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
77%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 21 game
76%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 19 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 17 games
82%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 19 games
68%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 15 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 13 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 12 games
42%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 12 games
58%
Snapfire
Snapfire
7e · 11 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
poyoyo · 9 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
780 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
584 picks · 583 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
573 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
483 picks · 306 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
477 picks · 561 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
471 picks · 267 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
460 picks · 751 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
437 picks · 1112 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total98% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:34
Team Falcons 87%Tearlaments 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 45:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
49% · 343 games46% · 262 games
Templar Assassinpoyoyo
Templar Assassin
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSkiter
53% · 355 games43% · 244 games
TimbersawSrf
Timbersaw
Pangolier
PangolierATF
48% · 405 games48% · 204 games
Primal Beast7e
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenSneyking
61% · 210 games52% · 394 games
BatriderTK
Batrider
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageCr1t-
47% · 55 games50% · 264 games
Disruptorzzq
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 98%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1