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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Cr1t- · 37 games
65%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 31 game
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
68%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 23 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 22 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
55%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Sneyking · 22 games
64%
Lion
Lionsignature
Cr1t- · 21 game
76%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 31 game
52%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 25 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 24 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 24 games
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
41%
Largo
Largosignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
510 picks · 356 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
361 picks · 436 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 600 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 485 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
316 picks · 621 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
307 picks · 343 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
301 picks · 216 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
298 picks · 159 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total80% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:6
Team Falcons 69%Vici Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 40:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzSkiter
54% · 92 games44% · 238 games
Windrangershiro
Windranger
Snapfire
SnapfireMalr1ne
54% · 351 game48% · 373 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierATF
47% · 403 games50% · 307 games
SlardarFaith_bian
Slardar
Enchantress
EnchantressCr1t-
49% · 201 game48% · 128 games
GrimstrokeXinQ
Grimstroke
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSneyking
64% · 155 games43% · 156 games
Undyingy`
Undying
Game 2prediction correct31:11
Team Falcons 67%Vici Gaming 33%
The model gave 67% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 42:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenSkiter
41% · 130 games49% · 162 games
Shadow Fiendshiro
Shadow Fiend
Necrophos
NecrophosATF
54% · 71 game52% · 167 games
BeastmasterFaith_bian
Beastmaster
Sand King
Sand KingMalr1ne
56% · 294 games51% · 209 games
PangolierXm
Pangolier
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSneyking
43% · 40 games54% · 141 game
Shadow DemonXinQ
Shadow Demon
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
50% · 316 games48% · 172 games
Jakiroy`
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 80%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2