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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 19 games
89%
Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
76%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 17 games
88%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 16 games
56%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 14 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 13 games
85%

Virtus.pro

Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 17 games
76%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Noticed · 16 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 14 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 13 games
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
77%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
75%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 11 games
82%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
368 picks · 560 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
325 picks · 282 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 260 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 463 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
282 picks · 455 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
278 picks · 460 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
278 picks · 408 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 778 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 62%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:18
Team Falcons 64%Virtus.pro 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 1:07:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckMalr1ne
59% · 131 game50% · 30 games
Arc WardenKiritych
Arc Warden
Alchemist
AlchemistSkiter
50% · 96 games50% · 185 games
Void SpiritSquad1x
Void Spirit
Doom
DoomATF
52% · 236 games54% · 161 game
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
Centaur Warrunner
Windranger
WindrangerCr1t-
51% · 120 games40% · 103 games
Hoodwinksayuw
Hoodwink
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSneyking
53% · 107 games43% · 211 games
UndyingFng
Undying
Game 2prediction correct33:6
Team Falcons 67%Virtus.pro 33%
The model gave 67% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 35:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomATF
57% · 202 games47% · 273 games
TinySquad1x
Tiny
Slark
SlarkSkiter
64% · 91 game46% · 150 games
Dragon KnightNoticed
Dragon Knight
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
53% · 263 games41% · 79 games
LinaKiritych
Lina
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
44% · 151 game46% · 158 games
Vengeful SpiritFng
Vengeful Spirit
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSneyking
56% · 79 games48% · 126 games
Grimstrokesayuw
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 74%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2