?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VI · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 36 games
72%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 36 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Sneyking · 26 games
58%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 26 games
73%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 25 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 24 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
67%

Xtreme Gaming

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 19 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
58%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 18 games
78%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
fy · 14 games
79%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 13 games
38%
Leshrac
Leshrac
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 13 games
62%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
609 picks · 949 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
536 picks · 433 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
481 picks · 636 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 618 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
440 picks · 961 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 666 bans
59%
Warlock
Warlock
399 picks · 244 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 538 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% Team Falcons
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total68% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:16
Team Falcons 59%Xtreme Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 38:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenSkiter
52% · 157 games52% · 57 games
RazorXxs
Razor
Mars
MarsATF
45% · 298 games53% · 214 games
UrsaAme
Ursa
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMalr1ne
47% · 148 games50% · 120 games
KunkkaNothingToSay
Kunkka
Ringmaster
RingmasterSneyking
55% · 366 games47% · 319 games
Tinyfy
Tiny
Largo
LargoCr1t-
53% · 50 games49% · 309 games
WarlockxNova
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct21:14
Team Falcons 62%Xtreme Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 53:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezSkiter
53% · 75 games48% · 305 games
Dragon KnightAme
Dragon Knight
Underlord
UnderlordATF
56% · 194 games46% · 255 games
MarsXxs
Mars
Chen
ChenSneyking
50% · 194 games45% · 296 games
TinyNothingToSay
Tiny
Sand King
Sand KingMalr1ne
50% · 255 games44% · 128 games
Dark Willowfy
Dark Willow
Ringmaster
RingmasterCr1t-
55% · 406 games53% · 140 games
Ancient ApparitionxNova
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 68%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2