Friday Fight · BO1
result vs prediction
Team FISSUREwin 1:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Winline Teamloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team FISSURE
No games played over 6 months.
Winline Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
512 picks · 631 bans
Phoenix
511 picks · 805 bans
Clockwerk
486 picks · 491 bans
Batrider
458 picks · 563 bans
Muerta
432 picks · 369 bans
Magnus
427 picks · 1021 bans
Gyrocopter
407 picks · 768 bans
Lich
390 picks · 210 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Team FISSURE
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Winline Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:4
Team FISSURE 43%Winline Team 57%
The model gave 57% on Winline Team — the game was taken by Team FISSURE in 31:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinline Team · 57%
Series resultTeam FISSURE 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1