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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Gwin 2:0
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team G

Kez
Kezoften banned
Munkushi~ · 1 game
100%
Lion
Lion
mrls · 1 game
100%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
xn丶e · 1 game
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Antares · 1 game
100%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
SoNNeikO · 1 game
100%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 26 games
35%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 21 game
48%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 18 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 17 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 17 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 15 games
40%
Axe
Axe
Covisnine · 14 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
564 picks · 348 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
456 picks · 239 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 372 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
383 picks · 532 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 866 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 806 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength58% Team G
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:10
Team G 35%Nemiga Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Team G in 32:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerMunkushi~
44% · 38 games53% · 105 games
Kezselfhate
Kez
Timbersaw
TimbersawAntares
46% · 184 games53% · 92 games
Invokeryoung G
Invoker
Slardar
Slardarxn丶e
52% · 253 games45% · 291 game
PangolierCovisnine
Pangolier
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSoNNeikO
48% · 163 games54% · 98 games
Lionariel
Lion
Techies
Techiesmrls
48% · 87 games56% · 139 games
BaneFishman
Bane
Game 2prediction missed38:22
Team G 35%Nemiga Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Team G in 43:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyMunkushi~
49% · 453 games47% · 177 games
Doomselfhate
Doom
Viper
Viperxn丶e
49% · 139 games42% · 282 games
PangolierCovisnine
Pangolier
Night Stalker
Night StalkerAntares
56% · 96 games52% · 418 games
Puckyoung G
Puck
Rubick
Rubickmrls
49% · 266 games55% · 219 games
Windrangerariel
Windranger
Silencer
SilencerSoNNeikO
53% · 161 game50% · 19 games
Witch DoctorFishman
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 76%
Series resultTeam G 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2