European Pro League Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Greeceloss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Greece
No games played over 6 months.
Zero Tenacity
Dark Willow
jAMES · 13 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 12 games
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 11 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
MikSa` · 8 games
Sand Kingoften banned
MikSa` · 8 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Stojkov · 8 games
Tuskoften banned
LeBronDota · 8 games
Lion
Thiolicor · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
481 picks · 666 bans
Clockwerk
428 picks · 502 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 552 bans
Dark Willow
360 picks · 185 bans
Batrider
332 picks · 359 bans
Luna
329 picks · 432 bans
Invoker
314 picks · 860 bans
Enchantress
310 picks · 609 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Greece 46%Zero Tenacity 54%
The model gave 54% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Greece 46%Zero Tenacity 54%
The model gave 54% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 54%
Series resultZero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2