RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bushidowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Bushido
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 1 game
Dark Willow
jAMES · 1 game
Earth Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 1 game
Hoodwinkoften banned
jAMES · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Dodren · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Covisnine · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Windrangeroften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
358 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 402 bans
Jakiro
342 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 510 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
281 picks · 254 bans
Windranger
272 picks · 361 bans
Phoenix
269 picks · 471 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Team Hryvnia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:35
Team Hryvnia 71%Bushido 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by Bushido in 57:35.
Game 2prediction missed21:32
Team Hryvnia 71%Bushido 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by Bushido in 36:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Hryvnia · 71%
Series resultBushido 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2