European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Into The Breachwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Hryvnia
Beastmasteroften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
paw · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
paw · 1 game
Into The Breach
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
482 picks · 404 bans
Clockwerk
449 picks · 563 bans
Batrider
416 picks · 518 bans
Lion
409 picks · 218 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 670 bans
Phoenix
395 picks · 445 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 592 bans
Beastmaster
357 picks · 915 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:36
Team Hryvnia 17%Into The Breach 83%
The model gave 83% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 30:02.
Game 2prediction correct11:32
Team Hryvnia 17%Into The Breach 83%
The model gave 83% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 36:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 83%
Series resultInto The Breach 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2