CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Hryvniawin 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Level UP
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 9 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
Rubick
Jeezy · 6 games
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Taiga · 4 games
Hoodwink
Delight · 4 games
Linaoften banned
Bor@nija · 4 games
Morphlingoften banned
Panda · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
419 picks · 607 bans
Gyrocopter
369 picks · 388 bans
Crystal Maiden
360 picks · 142 bans
Centaur Warrunner
355 picks · 463 bans
Dark Willow
323 picks · 349 bans
Pangolier
315 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
314 picks · 160 bans
Dragon Knight
311 picks · 626 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 33%
Hero pool strength61% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:33
Team Hryvnia 45%Level UP 55%
The model gave 55% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 45:23.
Game 2prediction correct31:24
Team Hryvnia 45%Level UP 55%
The model gave 55% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 33:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 55%
Series resultTeam Hryvnia 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2