CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Teawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
415 picks · 307 bans
Hoodwink
412 picks · 428 bans
Tiny
393 picks · 894 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 819 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 521 bans
Phoenix
360 picks · 712 bans
Clockwerk
346 picks · 483 bans
Dragon Knight
311 picks · 527 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:18
Team Hryvnia 15%Team Tea 85%
The model gave 85% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 34:07.
Game 2prediction correct21:20
Team Hryvnia 15%Team Tea 85%
The model gave 85% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 34:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 85%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2