FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTKTEAM KAFfanswin 2:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Crocodileloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TEAM KAFfans
No games played over 6 months.
Crocodile
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Irving · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Irving · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Irving · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
479 picks · 598 bans
Clockwerk
454 picks · 530 bans
Pangolier
390 picks · 575 bans
Dark Willow
376 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
368 picks · 404 bans
Muerta
362 picks · 269 bans
Invoker
334 picks · 917 bans
Beastmaster
333 picks · 707 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% TEAM KAFfans
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Crocodile
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TEAM KAFfans 47%Crocodile 53%
The model gave 53% on Crocodile — the game was taken by TEAM KAFfans.
Game 2prediction correct
TEAM KAFfans 47%Crocodile 53%
The model gave 53% on Crocodile — the game was taken by Crocodile.
Game 3prediction missed
TEAM KAFfans 47%Crocodile 53%
The model gave 53% on Crocodile — the game was taken by TEAM KAFfans.
Model check result
Model favoriteCrocodile · 53%
Series resultTEAM KAFfans 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3