European Pro League Season 15 · BO5
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 3:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Klim Sani4loss 2:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
Klim Sani4
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
261 picks · 432 bans
Muerta
230 picks · 320 bans
Phoenix
220 picks · 328 bans
Dark Willow
205 picks · 105 bans
Tusk
204 picks · 184 bans
Centaur Warrunner
197 picks · 272 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 388 bans
Kunkka
182 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Team Klee
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total70% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:30
Team Klee 70%Klim Sani4 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 50:21.
Game 2prediction missed34:32
Team Klee 70%Klim Sani4 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 53:10.
Game 3prediction missed27:8
Team Klee 70%Klim Sani4 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 28:19.
Game 4prediction missed52:16
Team Klee 70%Klim Sani4 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 47:54.
Game 5prediction missed28:16
Team Klee 70%Klim Sani4 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 35:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 70%
Series resultTeam Klee 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 5