European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MarsBet Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
MarsBet Team
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Mr. Luck · 14 games
Dark Willow
LeBronDota · 12 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Otaker · 10 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Mr. Luck · 8 games
Gyrocopter
Mitch · 8 games
Invokersignature
Jeezy · 8 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Mr. Luck · 8 games
Jakiro
Mitch · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
272 picks · 437 bans
Muerta
237 picks · 326 bans
Dark Willow
222 picks · 114 bans
Phoenix
218 picks · 324 bans
Centaur Warrunner
204 picks · 271 bans
Treant Protector
204 picks · 417 bans
Tusk
203 picks · 182 bans
Kunkka
192 picks · 533 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% Team Klee
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:33
Team Klee 74%MarsBet Team 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Klee — the game was taken by MarsBet Team in 34:15.
Game 2prediction missed29:31
Team Klee 74%MarsBet Team 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Klee — the game was taken by MarsBet Team in 55:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 74%
Series resultTeam Klee 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2