European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SIBE Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Primal Beastsignature
klassnokruto · 13 games
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 12 games
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 11 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
erase · 8 games
Rubick
emptiness · 7 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Rein · 7 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Rein · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
264 picks · 435 bans
Muerta
230 picks · 321 bans
Phoenix
217 picks · 325 bans
Dark Willow
208 picks · 107 bans
Tusk
203 picks · 181 bans
Centaur Warrunner
199 picks · 272 bans
Treant Protector
197 picks · 399 bans
Kunkka
185 picks · 524 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 63%
Hero pool strength61% SIBE Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:25
Team Klee 71%SIBE Team 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Klee — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 43:45.
Game 2prediction missed11:19
Team Klee 71%SIBE Team 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Klee — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 37:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 71%
Series resultTeam Klee 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2