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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kukuyswin 2:1
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:1
InterActive Philippinesloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Kukuys

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Jing · 8 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Palos · 7 games
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Yowe · 6 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 5 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
Palos · 5 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
75%

InterActive Philippines

Lina
Linaoften banned
Nishababy · 5 games
60%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
471 picks · 593 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
463 picks · 398 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
454 picks · 560 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
430 picks · 534 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 777 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 477 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
402 picks · 886 bans
59%
Lion
Lion
396 picks · 233 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 47%
Hero pool strength57% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:23
Team Kukuys 87%InterActive Philippines 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 42:56.
Game 2prediction correct16:24
Team Kukuys 87%InterActive Philippines 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys in 34:08.
Game 3prediction correct48:32
Team Kukuys 87%InterActive Philippines 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys in 41:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 87%
Series resultTeam Kukuys 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3