ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Allianceloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 16 games
Pucksignature
miCKe · 14 games
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 11 games
Timbersawsignature
Boxi · 9 games
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 8 games
Tusk
Taiga · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
iNSaNiA · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 7 games
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
438 picks · 994 bans
Void Spirit
412 picks · 605 bans
Mars
361 picks · 642 bans
Death Prophet
328 picks · 629 bans
Earth Spirit
324 picks · 277 bans
Rubick
263 picks · 176 bans
Phoenix
258 picks · 370 bans
Wraith King
258 picks · 427 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 47%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Alliance
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:37
Team Liquid 48%Alliance 52%
The model gave 52% on Alliance — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 43:28.
Game 2prediction correct24:34
Team Liquid 48%Alliance 52%
The model gave 52% on Alliance — the game was taken by Alliance in 38:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2