WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
beastcoastloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Earth Spiritoften banned
Taiga · 19 games
Pucksignature
miCKe · 18 games
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 13 games
Tinysignature
Taiga · 12 games
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 11 games
Void Spiritoften banned
miCKe · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Boxi · 9 games
Razorsignature
qojqva · 9 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
391 picks · 213 bans
Puck
389 picks · 1004 bans
Mars
381 picks · 634 bans
Grimstroke
366 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
328 picks · 185 bans
Tiny
294 picks · 208 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 221 bans
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 371 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:34
Team Liquid 42%beastcoast 58%
The model gave 58% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 42:26.
Game 2prediction missed25:15
Team Liquid 42%beastcoast 58%
The model gave 58% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 41:36.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2