The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusksignature
Boxi · 21 game
Enigmasignature
zai · 16 games
Pudgesignature
MATUMBAMAN · 16 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
miCKe · 16 games
Tiny
Boxi · 15 games
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 14 games
Undyingsignature
iNSaNiA · 14 games
Leshracsignature
miCKe · 13 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 8 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 7 games
Rubick
Save- · 7 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 6 games
Linasignature
Pure~ · 6 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 6 games
Leshracoften banned
gpK~ · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
694 picks · 438 bans
Tusk
588 picks · 542 bans
Tiny
561 picks · 447 bans
Treant Protector
495 picks · 552 bans
Mirana
392 picks · 382 bans
Snapfire
388 picks · 215 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 544 bans
Nature's Prophet
349 picks · 510 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)83% vs 75%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total56% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:29
Team Liquid 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PudgemiCKe
MorphlingPure~
Death Prophetzai
BroodmotherNightfall
TuskNisha
InvokergpK~
RikiBoxi
RubickSave-
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
Game 2prediction correct23:15
Team Liquid 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetmiCKe
MorphlingPure~
InvokerNisha
KunkkagpK~
Beastmasterzai
Death ProphetNightfall
MiranaBoxi
HoodwinkSave-
Treant ProtectoriNSaNiA
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2