The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusksignature
Boxi · 22 games
Pudgesignature
MATUMBAMAN · 17 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
miCKe · 16 games
Enigmasignature
zai · 15 games
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 14 games
Undyingsignature
iNSaNiA · 14 games
Leshracsignature
miCKe · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
miCKe · 13 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
711 picks · 449 bans
Tusk
595 picks · 552 bans
Tiny
564 picks · 451 bans
Treant Protector
506 picks · 562 bans
Snapfire
393 picks · 224 bans
Mirana
392 picks · 385 bans
Nature's Prophet
363 picks · 527 bans
Death Prophet
362 picks · 559 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 52%
Hero pool strength62% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total69% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:10
Team Liquid 69%Entity 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 28:04.
Game 2prediction correct25:21
Team Liquid 69%Entity 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 35:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 69%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2