Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Западная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 32 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 21 game
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 20 games
Tusksignature
Nisha · 20 games
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
Doomsignature
zai · 17 games
Miranasignature
Boxi · 17 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
778 picks · 586 bans
Disruptor
549 picks · 438 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 377 bans
Nature's Prophet
414 picks · 692 bans
Beastmaster
410 picks · 956 bans
Undying
402 picks · 588 bans
Snapfire
389 picks · 289 bans
Mirana
388 picks · 207 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 35%
Hero pool strength66% Team Liquid
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total82% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed3:28
Team Liquid 82%Entity 18%
The model gave 82% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Entity in 21:13.
Game 2prediction missed20:35
Team Liquid 82%Entity 18%
The model gave 82% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Entity in 28:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 82%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2