DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GamerLegionloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusk
Boxi · 30 games
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 29 games
Snapfire
Boxi · 27 games
Batridersignature
Boxi · 22 games
Axe
SabeRLight- · 20 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 20 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 20 games
Dark Willow
Boxi · 19 games
GamerLegion
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 9 games
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 8 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 7 games
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
779 picks · 360 bans
Hoodwink
616 picks · 305 bans
Jakiro
592 picks · 523 bans
Dragon Knight
584 picks · 728 bans
Disruptor
556 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
549 picks · 331 bans
Centaur Warrunner
512 picks · 583 bans
Mars
512 picks · 764 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total91% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:17
Team Liquid 77%GamerLegion 23%
The model gave 77% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 43:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingmiCKe
BeastmasterFayde
TimbersawAce
WeaverYamSun
PuckNisha
SlardarRCY
SnapfiretOfu
VenomancerSpeeed
TuskBoxi
Shadow DemonBignum
Game 2prediction correct27:20
Team Liquid 77%GamerLegion 23%
The model gave 77% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 39:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendmiCKe
PuckRCY
Dragon KnightNisha
KezYamSun
MarsAce
MarciFayde
Naga SirentOfu
ChenSpeeed
WindrangerBoxi
ClockwerkBignum
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 91%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2