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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GamerLegionloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 31 game
52%
Puck
Pucksignature
Nisha · 28 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 20 games
45%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Boxi · 18 games
56%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 18 games
78%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
53%

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 15 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 11 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 10 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
22%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 9 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Bignum · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
614 picks · 941 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
539 picks · 439 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
488 picks · 645 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
488 picks · 650 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
444 picks · 964 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 653 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 536 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
386 picks · 235 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total87% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:4
Team Liquid 71%GamerLegion 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 26:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeavermiCKe
55% · 98 games47% · 351 game
PangolierRCY
Pangolier
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNisha
49% · 130 games48% · 291 game
AbaddonYamSun
Abaddon
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
48% · 202 games58% · 125 games
BrewmasterFayde
Brewmaster
Tusk
TuskBoxi
49% · 438 games45% · 170 games
PhoenixSpeeed
Phoenix
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemontOfu
52% · 233 games50% · 164 games
ClockwerkBignum
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 87%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1