BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Heroicloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusk
Boxi · 32 games
Pucksignature
Nisha · 28 games
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 20 games
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
Batrideroften banned
Boxi · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 18 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Boxi · 17 games
Heroic
Jakirooften banned
KJ · 30 games
Tusk
Scofield · 30 games
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 23 games
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Wisper · 20 games
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 19 games
Ursaoften banned
Yuma · 19 games
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
607 picks · 944 bans
Tusk
536 picks · 436 bans
Centaur Warrunner
486 picks · 640 bans
Dragon Knight
479 picks · 637 bans
Shadow Demon
442 picks · 962 bans
Ember Spirit
398 picks · 657 bans
Mars
394 picks · 539 bans
Warlock
387 picks · 238 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% Heroic
Head-to-head3 – 4
Model total71% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:7
Team Liquid 62%Heroic 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 30:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezmiCKe
Troll WarlordYuma
UnderlordAce
BeastmasterTaiLung
Ember SpiritNisha
MarsWisper
WarlocktOfu
Skywrath MageThiolicor
TuskBoxi
Shadow DemonKJ
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 71%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1