?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE Universe: Episode 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MOUZwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tiny
miCKe · 23 games
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 21 game
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 21 game
52%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Boxi · 21 game
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 20 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 19 games
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SabeRLight- · 18 games
39%
Marci
Marcisignature
Boxi · 18 games
61%

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 33 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
MidOne · 27 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
BOOM · 19 games
68%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
yamich · 19 games
63%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
65%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
94%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 16 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
550 picks · 278 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
494 picks · 504 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
373 picks · 1024 bans
53%
Pugna
Pugna
336 picks · 383 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
323 picks · 156 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
323 picks · 150 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
322 picks · 539 bans
53%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
310 picks · 504 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 62%
Hero pool strength58% MOUZ
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total75% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:33
Team Liquid 63%MOUZ 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by MOUZ in 31:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocoptermiCKe
45% · 173 games62% · 44 games
Troll WarlordCrystallis
Troll Warlord
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNisha
46% · 110 games55% · 184 games
Nature's ProphetMidOne
Nature's Prophet
Axe
AxeAce
43% · 128 games56% · 139 games
UndyingBOOM
Undying
Pudge
PudgetOfu
54% · 47 games48% · 145 games
DisruptorSeleri
Disruptor
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBoxi
45% · 159 games52% · 105 games
Baneyamich
Bane
Game 2prediction missed11:27
Team Liquid 62%MOUZ 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by MOUZ in 26:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsamiCKe
51% · 118 games61% · 19 games
JuggernautCrystallis
Juggernaut
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNisha
50% · 154 games47% · 118 games
LeshracMidOne
Leshrac
Enigma
EnigmaAce
58% · 67 games46% · 139 games
MarsBOOM
Mars
Weaver
WeavertOfu
46% · 43 games47% · 164 games
SnapfireSeleri
Snapfire
Void Spirit
Void SpiritBoxi
55% · 98 games48% · 40 games
Pudgeyamich
Pudge
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 75%
Series resultMOUZ 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2