BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PARIVISIONwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 38 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 31 game
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 28 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Underlordsignature
Ace · 24 games
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
PARIVISION
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 30 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 26 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
562 picks · 347 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 568 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 365 bans
Pangolier
379 picks · 523 bans
Puck
326 picks · 860 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 69%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head6 – 1
Model total64% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:22
Team Liquid 43%PARIVISION 57%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 37:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangermiCKe
ViperNo[o]ne
DoomAce
KezSatanic
Storm SpiritNisha
BeastmasterNoticed
Treant ProtectortOfu
Keeper of the Light9Class
IoBoxi
LichDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 64%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1