Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PlayTimeloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 40 games
Tuskoften banned
Boxi · 32 games
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 31 game
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 29 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 26 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
PlayTime
Tuskoften banned
DJ · 18 games
Hoodwink
Scofield · 17 games
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 14 games
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 14 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 13 games
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
Viperoften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
Windrangersignature
Wits · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
608 picks · 435 bans
Rubick
557 picks · 325 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
404 picks · 366 bans
Phoenix
390 picks · 440 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 482 bans
Storm Spirit
325 picks · 372 bans
Windranger
312 picks · 219 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:25
Team Liquid 51%PlayTime 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 38:32.
Game 2prediction missed10:35
Team Liquid 51%PlayTime 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PlayTime in 34:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangermiCKe
Shadow FiendWits
Storm SpiritNisha
Earth SpiritDarkMago
AxeAce
Primal BeastFrank
OmniknighttOfu
HoodwinkElmisho
WindrangerBoxi
TuskScofield
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2