?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Talon Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 25 games
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 23 games
70%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 23 games
70%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 22 games
77%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 20 games
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 20 games
60%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Nisha · 20 games
60%

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 30 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 25 games
64%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Mikoto · 25 games
68%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Jhocam · 20 games
45%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ws · 19 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 19 games
47%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
79%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Jhocam · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
469 picks · 400 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
463 picks · 566 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
445 picks · 549 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
424 picks · 528 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
413 picks · 772 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 451 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
404 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
397 picks · 861 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 70%
Hero pool strength52% Talon Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total60% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:4
Team Liquid 55%Talon Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 20:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinmiCKe
51% · 167 games54% · 245 games
PuckMikoto
Puck
Tidehunter
TidehunterSabeRLight-
47% · 36 games61% · 215 games
BristlebackWs
Bristleback
Magnus
MagnusNisha
44% · 162 games39% · 106 games
Phantom AssassinNatsumi
Phantom Assassin
Clockwerk
ClockwerkiNSaNiA
53% · 258 games59% · 187 games
Nyx AssassinJhocam
Nyx Assassin
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBoxi
44% · 176 games47% · 46 games
WarlockKuku
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 60%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1