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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Falconsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
80%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 10 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 9 games
78%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nisha · 8 games
50%

Team Falcons

Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 19 games
89%
Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
76%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 17 games
88%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 16 games
56%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 14 games
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Cr1t- · 12 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
362 picks · 559 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
318 picks · 276 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
318 picks · 249 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
315 picks · 457 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
279 picks · 446 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
275 picks · 775 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
274 picks · 459 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
272 picks · 664 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 74%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:21
Team Liquid 48%Team Falcons 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 45:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death ProphetNisha
47% · 161 game54% · 27 games
SniperMalr1ne
Sniper
Alchemist
AlchemistmiCKe
41% · 64 games49% · 35 games
SlardarATF
Slardar
Tidehunter
Tidehunter33
50% · 91 game55% · 116 games
Dragon KnightSkiter
Dragon Knight
Techies
TechiesBoxi
50% · 108 games51% · 247 games
Nature's ProphetSneyking
Nature's Prophet
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
55% · 114 games47% · 113 games
HoodwinkCr1t-
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct25:11
Team Liquid 50%Team Falcons 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 32:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight33
48% · 143 games48% · 82 games
GyrocopterSkiter
Gyrocopter
Alchemist
AlchemistmiCKe
54% · 168 games46% · 264 games
TinyATF
Tiny
Puck
PuckNisha
51% · 225 games57% · 261 game
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
Storm Spirit
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetBoxi
47% · 223 games48% · 193 games
TechiesCr1t-
Techies
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
47% · 147 games54% · 106 games
Crystal MaidenSneyking
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 52%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2