BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 37 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 30 games
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 28 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
Team Yandex
Jakirosignature
Malady · 34 games
Tusksignature
Saksa · 29 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 27 games
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 23 games
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
545 picks · 339 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
Rubick
443 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
426 picks · 354 bans
Pangolier
367 picks · 501 bans
Puck
322 picks · 846 bans
Jakiro
317 picks · 214 bans
Beastmaster
314 picks · 800 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Team Yandex
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total61% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:24
Team Liquid 59%Team Yandex 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 28:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangermiCKe
Shadow FiendWatson
PuckNisha
BeastmasterDM
DoomAce
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
TechiesBoxi
Keeper of the LightSaksa
LichtOfu
BaneMalady
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 61%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1