The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 40 games
Tinysignature
miCKe · 40 games
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 32 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 24 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Boxi · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 23 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 22 games
Team Yandex
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 20 games
Jakirosignature
Malady · 19 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 18 games
Hoodwink
Saksa · 17 games
Kezsignature
Watson · 16 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Saksa · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
487 picks · 336 bans
Bane
356 picks · 443 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 547 bans
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 478 bans
Shadow Fiend
314 picks · 632 bans
Tiny
296 picks · 322 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 205 bans
Snapfire
277 picks · 436 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 68%
Hero pool strength51% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 5
Model total59% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:34
Team Liquid 55%Team Yandex 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 54:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetNisha
WindrangerWatson
DawnbreakerAce
IoChira JUNIOR
TinymiCKe
LargoDM
MiranatOfu
EnchantressSaksa
TuskBoxi
HoodwinkMalady
Game 2prediction missed13:38
Team Liquid 54%Team Yandex 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 38:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark SeerAce
IoWatson
WindrangerNisha
TidehunterDM
Ember SpiritmiCKe
SlarkChira JUNIOR
Winter WyverntOfu
HoodwinkMalady
ClockwerkBoxi
Bounty HunterSaksa
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 59%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2