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BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tundra Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 25 games
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 24 games
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 23 games
70%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 22 games
77%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 20 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Nisha · 20 games
60%

Tundra Esports

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 32 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
Whitemon · 32 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 31 game
61%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 30 games
77%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
33 · 26 games
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 25 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 24 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 24 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
469 picks · 398 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
466 picks · 573 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
450 picks · 551 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
429 picks · 529 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 771 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 457 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
398 picks · 867 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 73%
Hero pool strength52% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total74% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:26
Team Liquid 36%Tundra Esports 64%
The model gave 64% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 38:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistmiCKe
56% · 64 games49% · 73 games
Phantom Assassindyrachyo
Phantom Assassin
Pangolier
PangolierNisha
40% · 161 game51% · 88 games
Earthshakerbzm
Earthshaker
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSabeRLight-
51% · 104 games47% · 232 games
Bristleback33
Bristleback
Hoodwink
HoodwinkBoxi
50% · 98 games59% · 15 games
RikiSaksa
Riki
Jakiro
JakiroiNSaNiA
56% · 23 games56% · 42 games
WarlockWhitemon
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 74%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1