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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Puck
Pucksignature
miCKe · 14 games
64%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 13 games
46%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 11 games
55%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 8 games
38%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Boxi · 8 games
63%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
miCKe · 7 games
29%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
100%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
qojqva · 6 games
50%

Vici Gaming

Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 10 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 9 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 9 games
89%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 9 games
89%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 8 games
75%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 7 games
29%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ori · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
426 picks · 975 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
402 picks · 593 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 634 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
313 picks · 271 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
310 picks · 615 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
259 picks · 174 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
253 picks · 420 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
252 picks · 354 bans
61%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:7
Team Liquid 44%Vici Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 22:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeavermiCKe
47% · 35 games47% · 22 games
Anti-Magepoyoyo
Anti-Mage
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritqojqva
48% · 53 games50% · 130 games
Void SpiritOri
Void Spirit
Slardar
SlardarBoxi
65% · 12 games45% · 28 games
Sand KingELeVeN
Sand King
Death Prophet
Death ProphetiNSaNiA
56% · 119 games45% · 70 games
GrimstrokeDy
Grimstroke
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritTaiga
50% · 120 games51% · 89 games
TuskPyw
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed33:19
Team Liquid 41%Vici Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 39:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautmiCKe
43% · 52 games56% · 56 games
Wraith Kingpoyoyo
Wraith King
Dark Seer
Dark SeerBoxi
60% · 29 games48% · 71 game
Death ProphetOri
Death Prophet
Viper
Viperqojqva
41% · 32 games56% · 83 games
MarsELeVeN
Mars
Warlock
WarlockiNSaNiA
little data67% · 7 games
Winter WyvernPyw
Winter Wyvern
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritTaiga
43% · 118 games59% · 14 games
DisruptorDy
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 61%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2