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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 39 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 35 games
69%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 30 games
67%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 29 games
72%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 26 games
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Boxi · 25 games
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
64%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
miCKe · 24 games
63%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 29 games
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 23 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 23 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 22 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 16 games
44%
Kez
Kezsignature
shiro · 14 games
64%
Largo
Largosignature
Faith_bian · 14 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenix
y` · 14 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
508 picks · 352 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
357 picks · 636 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
351 picks · 407 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 462 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
326 picks · 176 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
314 picks · 344 bans
49%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
303 picks · 579 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
299 picks · 330 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Team Liquid
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total76% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:25
Team Liquid 66%Vici Gaming 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 1:00:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaNisha
58% · 61 game49% · 240 games
Windrangershiro
Windranger
Kez
KezmiCKe
49% · 213 games57% · 112 games
ViperFaith_bian
Viper
Underlord
UnderlordAce
47% · 222 games48% · 94 games
Earth SpiritXm
Earth Spirit
Clockwerk
ClockwerkBoxi
48% · 222 games41% · 35 games
IoXinQ
Io
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyverntOfu
50% · 77 games53% · 314 games
Tusky`
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct25:6
Team Liquid 65%Vici Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 38:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenmiCKe
47% · 86 games57% · 66 games
Lone Druidshiro
Lone Druid
Slardar
SlardarAce
48% · 216 games53% · 413 games
PuckXm
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNisha
49% · 268 games53% · 112 games
BrewmasterFaith_bian
Brewmaster
Windranger
WindrangerBoxi
52% · 176 games54% · 28 games
Elder Titany`
Elder Titan
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyverntOfu
49% · 76 games40% · 203 games
Dark WillowXinQ
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 76%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2