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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
Boxi · 36 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
61%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 30 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 28 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 26 games
62%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
61%
Largo
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
61%

Xtreme Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 31 game
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 30 games
47%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 30 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Xxs · 28 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 26 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
72%
Tiny
Tiny
NothingToSay · 25 games
48%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 24 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
545 picks · 336 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
474 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
441 picks · 233 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
424 picks · 353 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
366 picks · 496 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
322 picks · 842 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
320 picks · 217 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
315 picks · 801 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Team Liquid
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total75% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:20
Team Liquid 65%Xtreme Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 42:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinymiCKe
54% · 264 games48% · 186 games
SnapfireNothingToSay
Snapfire
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNisha
44% · 273 games55% · 96 games
Faceless VoidAme
Faceless Void
Night Stalker
Night StalkerAce
46% · 53 games54% · 190 games
UnderlordXxs
Underlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightBoxi
51% · 86 games49% · 125 games
EnchantressxNova
Enchantress
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctortOfu
42% · 12 games51% · 91 game
Lionfy
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 75%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1